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Spanish unemployment hits record
Expresiones y
Palabras
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Unemployment
in Spain, despite the fact it was predicted to go up further, and this is
confirmation of that, essentially. This
is the national office of statistics and its their survey of the active working
population, here in Spain, essentially a quarter of people who are essentially
part of that active working population are now out of work, 6.6million people
in total, and if you look, worryingly in the first quarter of this year another
374,000 people went out of work feeding into that perception that Spain is in a
downward spiral. It went into recession,
officially at the beginning of the week
and overnight that news from Standard & Poor, the credit rating agency,
that its credit worthiness has been downgrade by a few noches.
Despite
the best efforts at austerity on the part of the government, both local and
national across the country Tom, what is going wrong with the economy?
Spain
has two or three fundamental problems.
It has a huge amount of private debt and, a lot of that debt is held by
the Spanish banks, a fall out, essentially form the housing crisis. You may remember that Spain up to 2008 built
huge amounts of property and public infrastructure projects across the country
and when the housing market collapsed in 2008 a lot of the banks were left with
a lot of bad debt. The other problem is
unemployment, of course and then there is the lack of growth which, of course
is linked to unemployment. If people aren’t
in a job, they have less money and they are spending less in the economy, so
the perception is, and we have seen this from the markets recently that if you
look at the rate of borrowing that the government is paying on its debt and the
fear is that Spain economy is not growing, its is going to contract this year
and probably the next, and the perception is that Spain I really struggling to
get itself moving again. The real fear is when the economy can grow again in
the near future.
If you
have unemployment running at this kind of percentage Tom, is Spain moving to a
tipping point, because of you have 1 in 4 people long term unemployed because of
the public sector jobs and the building jobs no longer exist can Spain afford to
keep these people in benefits, keep the social service aspect afloat?
The
other really interesting thing to point out Peter, is that Spain, recently the
government announced a very austere budget, huge cuts to public services and
tax increases and those measures have not really taken effect yet, and so if
you can imagine we are in this situation now, nearly 1in 4 of those are looking
for a job, unable to get one, a lot of other fundamental problems within the
economy. If you then wind the clock on a
few months and start thinking that these measures of austerity that the
government is going to put in place means that the government is going to be
spending less money, investing less in public services things are not going to
be tougher for people socially, there is going to be a lot of controversy over
health measures announced recently, people are going to have to pay more for
medicine, students are going to have to pay more to go to university, class
sizes are having to go up, there a lots of measures that are going to hurt
people but the overall fear is really, that this overall austerity is going to
feed into the lack of growth in the economy.
You have, sort of a perfect storm for the Spanish Economy. Of course the
Spanish are hoping that these austerity measures will create confidence in the markets
that it will get its budget deficit in order and then it will bring in other measures to try and generate growth
within the economy.
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El presidente de la
Eurocámara: "Se está preparando un cambio de dirección en la UE"
Expresiones y Palabras
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Hay de los últimos días, algo que pidamos en desde dos años en la parlamento, llega Dragui el
Presidente del Banco Central Europea y dice exactamente ‘lo que nosotros pidamos
hasta los 2 años necesitamos un pacto de
crecimiento’. Es una parto de pacto fiscal, un pacto de crecimiento. No lo dice
Hollanda, no lo dice parlamento europea, si no el presidente del Banco Central Europea.
Así es una indicadora muy bueno. El Presidente del Banco Central se atrae avanzar
tanto, como el senior Dragui pronto
va una cambio de dirección y compue Mario Monte y una exigido de pacto crecimiento
en Bruselas y, estos días hay una cambio de dirección en la unión europea. También,
mi parece que la señora Merkel va aprobada es
pacto de crecimiento. Y un punto más, y también
es un interés Alemán yo soy un político Alemania, la republica federal de Alemania,
tiene su mayor fuerza en la exportación de
45% de PIB es un importación, es 60% va a la unión europea. Y se hay debilidad en la unión europea, también
debilitar Alemania, entonces la economía Alemania tiene muchos intereses en el
pacto de crecimiento. Y que estoy parece
gobierno Alemania va aprobada.
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